Season record: 14-8

I was in attendance at Game 4 of the National League Division Series at Citizens Bank Park where the Phillies dismantled the Atlanta Braves, so we’re just going to get right into the NFL action this week.

NFL: Jets vs. Packers – Sunday, 1 P.M. ET (FOX)

• Get ready to hold your breathe, but we’re taking the Jets again
• The only Packers win by more than 7.5 points (current spread) this year is against the Bears
• The Jets have played solid ball so far this year (3-2 record) and have only gotten easily handled by teams with explosive offenses, and that is not the Packers this season

Take Jets +7.5.

…

NFL: Buccaneers vs. Steelers – Sunday, 1 P.M. ET (FOX)

• The Pittsburgh offense is rebuilding with first-round pick Kenny Pickett, and its pretty rough to start based on last week (only scoring three points against Buffalo)
• The Bucs are a team based around defense, and even with having Tom Brady at the helm, they aren’t putting up a ton of points
• The Steelers defense is more capable of a unit than the offense at this point, and I trust they can bounce back from last week’s disaster against the Bills

Take Under 45.

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NFL: Broncos vs. Chargers – Monday, 8:15 P.M. ET (ESPN)

• I’ve said it before, the Broncos are frauds and their offense can’t keep up with a high powered one like the Chargers
• The Chargers are also getting Keenan Allen back, and are as healthy as they have been since week 1 in terms of their offensive weapons being available
• I’ll just repeat it, Broncos are frauds

Take Chargers -4.5.

Also, if you believe in birthday luck… I’m turning 30 on Sunday. Tail/Fade accordingly as you’ve been warned!

Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

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You can follow Tim O’Keefe on Twitter (@TKO_Picks) and e-mail him at [email protected]

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